So, today pitchers and catchers report and we don’t have to worry about Ronald Belisario getting a Visa… or even a Mastercard! But seriously folks…
This season has the potential for a World Series title or a train wreck! Last season was magical in the fact that they won like 45 out of 50 games in one stretch (or some crazy number – I’m not looking it up). Don’t expect that again. There are a lot of “ifs.”
- If Hanley can stay healthy
- If Matt can return to form and health
- If Andre can keep it up
- If Carl can stay on the field
- If Adrian keeps it up as he ages
- If Uribe is healthy and plays like last year
- If Alex is ready for MLB
- If AJ has another good year in him
- If some subs step up
- If the starters are healthy
- If Josh and Chad return to form
- If the pen is solid
Nothing is a given. None of us know the answer, but we all hope ALL of those IFs are answered in the affirmative. It’s going to be nice to see all those Spring games – I presume MLB will televise them. I have my home office set up so that I can work and watch the game on the TV right above my monitors (see photo). I’m ready to go!
Dodger Rants & Raves
- I certainly enjoy the addition of Dodgers Digest to the Dodger blogroll, but I was fooled by Mike Petriello – I thought he was good guy and then he goes and spouts off this: “I generally believe in WAR.” That is ridiculous! He’s a horrible person. How can you sanction war? Don’t you have any regard for the sanctity of life? How about the innocent causalities of war? You need to re-think that. War? Huh? That’s all I have to say about that.
- Two players I will be watching closely this Spring: Guerrero and Figgins. I am intrigued by both.
- I am ecstatic that the D-Backs owe Arroyo $23 million or some such amount. The Dodgers have plenty of #5 prospects in-house. Thank you very much!
- Daniel Brim wrote an excellent long analytic piece on the struggles of Paco Rodriguez at the end of last season, and offered up reasons and proof of what happened to him. However, I think one key component was left out. While physical fatigue could be part of the problem, I think mental fatigue is just as likely. If a player has not played at that level before, they can mentally “hit the wall” and lose the power of focus. I think that is part of what happened. The game is played by humans, not machines, and we have no clue what also is going on in their private lives. It all plays a part, which is why I value statistical analysis, but take it with a grain of salt.
- It’s fun to look at the ZIPS, PECOTA, Bill James and Baseball Prospectus Projections, but realize one thing. There is a better way to determine and predict the statistics (see below).