Just in case you haven’t figured it out, attendance at Dodger Stadium is not the only source of income for the Dodgers. While their have attendance has been stellar,
most other teams have seen substantial declines in attendance, which means that the Dodgers get a smaller cut of the gate and concessions. It is not clear what the amount of the decline is to me, but I estimate it at around $15 to $20 million a year. Couple that with MLB Apparel and Memorabilia sales declines and the Dodgers could be losing as much as $20 to $25 million a year in revenue as a result of the recession. It may get better next year. It may not. Some teams (can you say Cincinnati Reds?) are looking to dump payroll. The Dodgers are looking to stay level or even drop payroll. I have an idea:
How about Juan Pierre, James McDonald, Ivan DeJesus, Jr., and Blake DeWitt to the Reds for either Aaron Harang or Bronson Arroyo and Brandon Phillips? Up-shoot: The Reds save $10 mil a year and get some prospects (along with a leadoff hitter – Dusty Baker loves Pierre) and the Dodgers spend only an extra $10 mil to get an “inning eater” pitcher and a 2B. Next, the Dodgers should offer Hudson and Wolf arbitration, making it clear to Hudson that Phillips is the 2B, and if he won his arbitration case he’d be a backup. Hudson would decline arbitration, but Wolf could accept. That’s fine!
Dole out the raises to the youngsters and the Dodgers are done! Our rotation would look something like this:
- Wolf or Heager
- Furcal SS
- Martin C
- Kemp CF
- Manny LF
- Ethier RF
- Phillips 2B
- Loney 1B
- Blake 3B
I could live with that! Harang makes $11.5 mil next year and Arroyo makes $11 mil, so pick ‘em. You never know – they could be a dud or they could be a Godsend! Sometimes you have to roll the dice. Castro is headed to Philly and Hu is the logical backup infielder. Xavier Paul, Jason Repko and Jamie Hoffman are candidates for two outfield spots. Ausmus may or may not play for a million next year, but if he doesn’t Ellis or another bargain Free Agent will be available.
The Dodgers should be able to field an excellent team for under (or around) $100 million. Harang and Arroyo’s average years are not what I expect. I would hope for a “carrer year” for whichever one come to LA. You gotta’ believe! The “kids” will be year better next and Martin and Loney will “breakout.” Believe it!
- Bud Selig will be commissioner at least 3 more seasons.
- The Marlins are shopping Josh Johnson… Hummmmmm, I may have to revise my thinking…